Race Overview

How this primary came to be, and what's at stake

ℹ️
Last updated: February 2026. This guide is based on publicly available campaign finance filings, published polling, and news reporting through mid-February 2026. All factual claims are linked to source documents.

How the seat opened

In April 2025, Senator Dick Durbin—Illinois's senior senator and the Senate Democratic Whip for 17 years—announced he would not seek re-election in 2026, ending a congressional career spanning nearly five decades. Reuters

Within days, Governor JB Pritzker endorsed Lt. Governor Juliana Stratton, shaping the early field. Congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi filed with the FEC within two weeks, entering with a massive existing fundraising network.

The general election

Illinois is a reliably Democratic state in federal elections. Major political handicappers (Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections) all rate the November seat as safely or solidly Democratic, meaning the primary is effectively the decisive election for the seat. Ballotpedia

State of the race

Congressman Krishnamoorthi leads in both fundraising ($28.5M raised) and polling (31–33%), but with 46% of likely voters still undecided in January 2026, the race remains fluid. Stratton and Kelly each hover around 8–18% in polls, and Stratton holds the key Pritzker endorsement. Emerson/WGN, Jan. 2026

Remaining Ballot Candidates · Full Field

🏙️

Steve Botsford Jr.

Former Congressional Aide
Total Raised
$359K
Cash on Hand
$128K
Most-funded outside the top three. "Abundance" economic message — lower cost of living through housing supply expansion, clean energy, and affordable healthcare.

Sean Brown

Attorney / Political Outsider
Total Raised
$10.2K
Cash on Hand
$539
Running as "Not a Politician, I'm a Problem Solver." Proposes Universal Care Plus Act, gun reform with a national firearm registry, and immigration reform.
🌐

Awisi Bustos

Democratic Primary Candidate
FEC Status
No data
Polling
Not polled
Listed as an active ballot candidate by Ballotpedia. Limited public campaign information available; FEC data was not processed as of research date.
📋

Jonathan Dean

Democratic Primary Candidate
Total Raised
$60.7K
Cash on Hand
−$6.8K
Campaign funded substantially through a $46,500 personal loan. Negative cash on hand may constrain late-campaign activities.
📌

Bryan Maxwell

Democratic Primary Candidate
Total Raised
$21.9K
Cash on Hand
$7.2K
Active ballot candidate with limited resources. Policy platform details were not prominently documented in public sources as of research date.
🔷

Kevin Ryan

Democratic Primary Candidate
Total Raised
$83.9K
Cash on Hand
$11.5K
Better resourced than several minor candidates but far short of debate inclusion thresholds set by top-tier forums. Filed FEC candidacy statement in July 2025.
🦢

Christopher Swann

Democratic Primary Candidate
Total Raised
$4.8K
Cash on Hand
$593
Active ballot candidate with minimal fundraising resources. Minimal public campaign information was available in sources reviewed as of research date.
✏️

Adam Delgado

Write-In Candidate
Total Raised
$15.6K
Cash on Hand
−$20.4K
Democratic write-in candidate. Write-in candidacies for statewide federal primaries face high structural barriers. Negative cash on hand suggests significant debt.

Candidate Debates

Six debates and forums have featured the top three candidates ahead of the March 17 primary. The most recent was February 26 — a League of Women Voters forum broadcast on WTVP.

📺
Watch the debates: The Jan. 27 WBEZ/Sun-Times/UChicago debate is archived on C-SPAN and freely streamable on the Internet Archive. The Feb. 19 WGN debate was available on WGN+ and Nexstar platforms. No confirmed public YouTube URL was identified for the Feb. 26 forum as of publication.
Most Recent · February 26, 2026

League of Women Voters Forum — WTVP

Moderated Q&A format · No direct candidate crossfire · Six minor candidates excluded

Last Night
🏛️ Krishnamoorthi
  • Drew on immigrant family story and reliance on public programs
  • Warned public benefits "are on the chopping block"
  • Called for abolishing "Trump's ICE" with specific reforms: no masks, body cameras, IDs, no warrantless arrests
  • Focused on breaking monopolies — opposed Kroger-Albertsons merger
  • Proposed 10% housing credit for first-time homebuyers; clean energy tax credits
  • Labeled Trump's budget bill the "Large Lousy Law"
⚖️ Stratton
  • Touted Illinois record: wage increases, job growth, balanced budgets, improved credit ratings
  • Called for complete ICE abolition — framed Trump as normalizing military presence in Democratic cities
  • Advocated $25/hr federal minimum wage
  • Championed gun safety and reproductive freedom protections
  • Stayed on offense re: Trump contrast throughout
🌟 Kelly
  • Platform: "people over profit"
  • Proposed taxing wealthy individuals and closing corporate loopholes to fund housing, healthcare, childcare
  • Filed impeachment papers against DHS Sec. Kristi Noem — called it a "reign of terror"
  • Proposed $17/hr minimum wage as more achievable than $25
  • Emphasized 13 years of legislative accomplishments: "she gets s— done"
Area of consensus: All three candidates opposed Trump's tariff policies (citing harm to Illinois soybean farmers), criticized the Trump budget bill, and agreed that its tax cuts for the wealthy were offset by healthcare cuts affecting 13 million Americans. Source: WGLT/NPR Illinois
February 19, 2026

WGN Statewide Debate — Nexstar/WGN-TV

Moderated by Tahman Bradley & Micah Materre · Broadcast statewide across six Illinois markets

Key clash — ICE & immigration:

Stratton continued pressing Krishnamoorthi on ICE contractor campaign donations and his prior resolution vote. Kelly highlighted her impeachment effort against DHS Sec. Noem.

Key clash — Campaign finance:

Stratton renewed attacks on PAC funding from both Kelly and Krishnamoorthi. Opponents pointed out her supporting super PAC (Illinois Future PAC) hadn't disclosed donors despite running ads.

Other topics:

Healthcare access, inflation, U.S. foreign policy. All three committed to opposing Trump's second-term agenda.

WGN-TV recap · Chicago Monitor recap

February 16, 2026

Fox 32 / Daily Illini Debate

Notable for minimum wage clash, campaign finance attacks, and a surprise UFO question

💰 Minimum Wage

Stratton: $25/hr · Krishnamoorthi: $17/hr (small business impact concern) · Kelly: "realistic" figure needed for passage

🏦 Campaign Finance

Stratton attacked Krishnamoorthi over Palantir executive donation. Krishnamoorthi countered: Stratton's Illinois Future PAC received money from CoreCivic, a private prison contractor — "very disturbing."

🛸 UAP/UFO Disclosure

Kelly & Krishnamoorthi supported greater government disclosure. Krishnamoorthi: "Sunlight is the best disinfectant." Stratton redirected to wages and healthcare.

Fox 32 — 3 key takeaways · Daily Illini recap

February 6, 2026

Chicago Tribune Radio Debate

Candidates clashed over PAC money and ICE abolition policy in a radio format. Stratton's pledge not to accept corporate PAC money directly was scrutinized against Illinois Future PAC's undisclosed donor list.

Chicago Tribune

January 30, 2026

2nd Illinois Senate Debate — STLPR

Candidates debated how to fight the Trump agenda and restore public trust in government.

STLPR recap

January 27, 2026

1st Live-Broadcast Debate — WBEZ / Chicago Sun-Times / UChicago

Moderated by Tina Sfondeles (Sun-Times), Jennifer Steinhauer (IOP) & Sasha-Ann Simons (WBEZ)

Biggest clash — ICE vote

Stratton hit Krishnamoorthi for voting to "thank ICE" and accepting ICE contractor donations. Krishnamoorthi: the resolution primarily condemned antisemitism; he donated the Palantir exec's $29,300 to Illinois migrant rights groups and was "the only candidate who actually inspected an ICE facility." Stratton: "No matter what you say now, you already demonstrated that you're not gonna show up when it matters."

Campaign finance & legislative record

Kelly defended corporate PAC money: "Check the record. Check how I vote" — accused Stratton of "dark money." Stratton mocked Krishnamoorthi's passed bills as only "renaming post offices." Krishnamoorthi countered he has passed 76 bills when including partnerships with other members.

Trump alignment question

Kelly acknowledged respecting RFK Jr.'s wellness focus; Krishnamoorthi agreed on manufacturing concerns; Stratton stated she disagreed with Trump "on all points."

📺 Watch: C-SPAN (full video) · Internet Archive (free stream) · WBEZ recap · STLPR recap

Campaign Fundraising

Total receipts reported to the FEC through December 31, 2025. Source: FEC

⚠️ Krishnamoorthi's receipts include $19.3M in transfers from prior authorized committees (his existing House campaign accounts), a legal and common practice. Similarly, Kelly's receipts include large authorized-committee transfers. These figures represent total receipts, not new money raised.
Krishnamoorthi
$28.48M
Stratton
$3.20M
Kelly
$2.95M
Botsford Jr.
$359K
K. Ryan
$83.9K
J. Dean
$60.7K
A. Delgado (W-I)
$15.6K
B. Maxwell
$21.9K
S. Brown
$10.2K
C. Swann
$4.8K

Cash on Hand (Dec. 31, 2025)

Candidate Total Receipts Total Disbursements Cash on Hand Notes
Raja Krishnamoorthi $28,480,748 $13,228,573 $15,252,175 Includes $19.3M transfers from prior committees
Juliana Stratton $3,199,075 $2,077,484 $1,121,591
Robin Kelly $2,949,085 $1,349,085 $1,600,000 Includes large transfers from authorized committees
Steve Botsford Jr. $359,171 $230,990 $128,181 Largely self-funded
Kevin Ryan $83,936 $72,401 $11,535
Jonathan Dean $60,724 $67,554 −$6,830 $46,500 in outstanding loans
Adam Delgado (write-in) $15,572 $36,948 −$20,366 Write-in candidate
Bryan Maxwell $21,976 $14,778 $7,198
Sean Brown $10,217 $9,678 $539
Christopher Swann $4,768 $4,175 $593 Jul.–Sep. 2025 period
Awisi Bustos FEC data unavailable FEC profile not processed as of research date

Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Two major polls have been publicly released for this primary. The most striking finding in both: nearly half of likely voters are undecided, leaving substantial room for late movement.

Public Policy Polling · Late Sept. 2025
Krishnamoorthi
33%
Stratton
18%
Kelly
8%
Undecided
41%
Survey of likely Democratic primary voters, Sept. 25–26, 2025. Public Policy Polling memo
Emerson / WGN-TV · Early Jan. 2026
Krishnamoorthi
31%
Stratton
10%
Kelly
8%
Undecided
46%
Survey of likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 3–5, 2026. Emerson College Polling / WGN-TV
Decision Desk HQ Polling Average
Krishnamoorthi
35.0%
Stratton
18.5%
Kelly
9.8%
Note: Polling average methodology depends on included polls and subgroup definitions. Not itself a primary poll instrument. Decision Desk HQ
Key Demographic Findings (Emerson, Jan. 2026)
  • Voters over 50 favored Krishnamoorthi at 42%
  • Male voters favored Krishnamoorthi at 41%
  • Women were disproportionately undecided
  • Stratton's coalition may be larger than her topline suggests
Emerson/WGN narrative demographic breakdown, Jan. 2026. Source

Candidate Comparison

Key facts across fundraising, polling, endorsements, and policy. "No public statement" means no direct quote was found in reviewed sources — not that the candidate has no position.

Candidate Current Role Fundraising Latest Poll Key Endorsement Campaign Message Key Policy Focus
Raja Krishnamoorthi U.S. Rep. (IL-8) $28.5M raised · $15.3M CoH 31–33% None identified (Durbin neutral) Anti-Trump, national security Intel/national security; economic growth
Juliana Stratton Lt. Governor, IL $3.2M raised · $1.1M CoH 10–18% Gov. JB Pritzker "Working people"; anti-Trump Workers' rights; criminal justice reform
Robin Kelly U.S. Rep. (IL-2) $2.95M raised · $1.6M CoH 8% None identified Gun violence prevention champion Gun safety; healthcare; South Side Chicago
Steve Botsford Jr. Former cong. aide $359K raised · $128K CoH Not polled None identified "Abundance" economics; cost of living Housing supply; clean energy; healthcare cost
Sean Brown Attorney $10.2K raised · $539 CoH Not polled None identified "Not a Politician, I'm a Problem Solver" Universal Care Plus Act; gun registry; immigration reform
Awisi Bustos FEC data unavailable Not polled None identified Not documented Not documented
Jonathan Dean $60.7K raised · −$6.8K CoH Not polled None identified Not documented Not documented
Bryan Maxwell $21.9K raised · $7.2K CoH Not polled None identified Not documented Not documented
Kevin Ryan $83.9K raised · $11.5K CoH Not polled None identified Not documented Not documented
Christopher Swann $4.8K raised · $593 CoH Not polled None identified Not documented Not documented
Adam Delgado (write-in) $15.6K raised · −$20.4K CoH Not polled None identified Not documented Not documented

Candidates Not on the Ballot

Several candidates were removed from the Democratic primary ballot through Illinois petition objection and ballot certification processes, or withdrew voluntarily.

🚫 Removed / Disqualified

  • Jump Shepherd — Removed December 2025 (IL SBOE records). Populist "Oligarchs vs. You" message; minimal fundraising ($881).
  • Anthony W. Williams — Removed December 2025 (IL SBOE records).
  • Adair Rodriquez — Did not qualify for the primary ballot.
  • Stanley Leavell — Did not qualify for the primary ballot.

↩️ Withdrew

  • Robert Palmer — Listed as withdrawn/not a candidate by The Green Papers and Ballotpedia.
  • Dick Durbin — Listed by Ballotpedia among withdrawn candidates; he announced retirement April 2025.